Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-15
End: 2025-11-15
Location: Churchill Downs

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Saturday November 15, 2025

Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Geldings on a Dirt track at a distance of 6.0F. The purse for this race is $100000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Swaggish

Illini

Spotted Bull

Raymond

Wound Up

Sharp Warning

Concrete Glory

Panthor

Tap In Formation

Empire'S Best

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 X Swaggish J: Luis Saez T: Joe Sharp	16 33 52	15/1	G 120lbs $214890	27 5-11-15 w%: 19% s%: 56%	8 / 12 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	7 / 7 1M Dirt BAQ	3 / 8 1M Dirt SAR	Slowest Leads
2 C Illini J: Gabriel Saez T: Destin G Heath		30/1	G 120lbs $80589	13 3-5-6 w%: 23% s%: 46%	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt	5 / 9 5.0F Turf	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt	Slower Deep
3 X Spotted Bull J: Jordano Tunon T: Jonathaniel Badil		30/1	G 120lbs $478484	66 10-19-30 w%: 15% s%: 45%	5 / 5 6.0F Dirt PEN	7 / 9 6.5F Dirt PRX	4 / 7 6.0F Dirt DEL	Slower Closer
4 A Raymond J: Tyler W Bacon T: Timothy E Martin	24 48 73	6/1	G 120lbs $572828	36 9-18-25 w%: 25% s%: 69%	2 / 5 6.0F Dirt PRM	1 / 4 6.0F Dirt PRM	4 / 7 6.0F Dirt PRM	Fast Leads
5 B Wound Up J: Jose L Ortiz T: Librado Barocio	28	4/2	G 120lbs $436700	30 14-17-17 w%: 47% s%: 57%	6 / 8 6.0F Dirt SA	6 / 8 6.0F Dirt SA	12 / 12 5.0F Turf DMR	Fast Stalker
6 A Sharp Warning J: Larren Delorme T: Kayla Warren	12 26 42	20/1	G 120lbs $232088	65 14-26-39 w%: 22% s%: 60%	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt	2 / 7 5.5F Dirt	1 / 4 5.5F Dirt	Fastest Leader
7 A Concrete Glory J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Saffie A Joseph J	28	3/2	G 120lbs $486935	23 12-15-17 w%: 52% s%: 74%	1 / 10 7.0F Dirt SAR	7 / 7 6.5F Dirt SAR	5 / 5 6.0F Dirt PIM	Fast Closer
8 B Panthor J: Brandon Tapara T: Michelle Winters	28	20/1	G 120lbs $126209	15 5-6-7 w%: 33% s%: 47%	4 / 4 1M Dirt	4 / 4 1M Dirt	6 / 8 6.0F Dirt TDN	Mid Pack Leads
9 X Tap In Formation J: Francisco Martine T: Irving Rodriguez	16 33 52	8/1	G 120lbs $405160	30 10-12-14 w%: 33% s%: 47%	4 / 5 6.5F Dirt PRX	1 / 9 6.5F Dirt PRX	3 / 5 6.0F Dirt PRX	Mid Pack Stalker
10 X Empire's Best J: Amanda K Poston T: Joe Blair Roberts		30/1	G 113lbs $204610	30 9-18-20 w%: 30% s%: 67%	6 / 6 6.0F Dirt KEE	2 / 6 5.0F Turf	2 / 7 5.5F Dirt	Slower Leads

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Swaggish 4 / 25% / 25%	16 33 52	14/1	G 120lbs $214890	Luis Saez 204 / 19% / 50%	Joe Sharp 76 / 28% / 54%	Slowest Leads
2 Illini 4 / 50% / 100%		29/1	G 120lbs $80589	Gabriel Saez 88 / 7% / 34%	Destin G Heath 16 / 12% / 31%	Slower Deep
3 Spotted Bull 24 / 12% / 54%		29/1	G 120lbs $478484	Jordano Tunon 63 / 10% / 33%	Jonathaniel Badillo 16 / 19% / 38%	Slower Closer
4 Raymond 21 / 29% / 76%	24 48 73	5/1	G 120lbs $572828	Tyler W Bacon 373 / 20% / 52%	Timothy E Martin 118 / 13% / 33%	Fast Leads
5 Wound Up 5 / 40% / 60%	28	2/2	G 120lbs $436700	Jose L Ortiz 277 / 29% / 58%	Librado Barocio 19 / 21% / 53%	Fast Stalker
6 Sharp Warning 8 / 50% / 75%	12 26 42	19/1	G 120lbs $232088	Larren Delorme 65 / 9% / 37%	Kayla Warren 12 / 25% / 42%	Fastest Leader
7 Concrete Glory 11 / 45% / 73%	28	1/2	G 120lbs $486935	Irad Ortiz Jr 198 / 22% / 54%	Saffie A Joseph Jr 121 / 32% / 64%	Fast Closer
8 Panthor 3 / 33% / 33%	28	19/1	G 120lbs $126209	Brandon Tapara 0 / 0% / 0%	Michelle Winters 73 / 8% / 21%	Mid Pack Leads
9 Tap In Formation 13 / 31% / 38%	16 33 52	7/1	G 120lbs $405160	Francisco Martinez 159 / 12% / 46%	Irving Rodriguez 53 / 13% / 51%	Mid Pack Stalker
10 Empire's Best 3 / 67% / 67%		29/1	G 113lbs $204610	Amanda K Poston 29 / 3% / 14%	Joe Blair Roberts 16 / 31% / 56%	Slower Leads

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 754

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

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Exacta Pick*

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Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 754

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 754