Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-15
End: 2025-11-15
Location: Churchill Downs

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Saturday November 15, 2025

Race Number 7 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Filly & Mares on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $100000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Oops And Downs

Onmywaytosavthday

Angelas Party Girl

Pink Rose

Jubilant Joanie

What If

Two Hearted

Savannamarie

Sadie The Goat

Beau Soleil

Next Girl

Lika Rolling Stone

Mercy Warren

Lucky Ana

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 X Oops And Downs J: Assael Espinoza T: Dan Ward		50/1	F 121lbs $167250	33 4-10-21 w%: 12% s%: 64%	8 / 8 6.0F Dirt DEL	5 / 6 1M Dirt	5 / 6 1M Dirt	Slower Closer
2 X Onmywaytosavthday J: Tyler Gaffalione T: David Jacobson	18 30	15/1	F 121lbs $120485	30 3-10-13 w%: 10% s%: 43%	2 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	2 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	7 / 8 6.0F Dirt CD	Mid Pack Closer
3 B Angelas Party Girl J: Francisco Arrieta T: Nik G Goodwin	18 30	30/1	M 121lbs $269455	44 10-19-24 w%: 23% s%: 55%	6 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	6 / 6 5.0F Turf	7 / 7 7.5F Turf	Fast Stalker
4 B Pink Rose J: Abner Adorno T: E Padilla-Preciad		12/1	F 121lbs $161621	20 7-11-14 w%: 35% s%: 70%	1 / 7 1M Dirt PEN	1 / 7 1M Dirt PEN	2 / 5 1M Dirt PEN	Fast Stalker
5 A Jubilant Joanie J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Richard E Dutrow	18 39 61	7/2	M 121lbs $362720	25 10-13-16 w%: 40% s%: 64%	7 / 8 6.0F Dirt KEE	8 / 8 1M Dirt SA	8 / 8 1M Dirt SA	Fast Closer
6 C What If J: Andres Calleja T: Ismael Bahena		50/1	F 118lbs $100455	17 1-3-4 w%: 6% s%: 24%	5 / 7 1M Turf	7 / 7 6.0F Dirt	6 / 10 1M Turf	Slowest Deep
7 A Two Hearted J: Julio E Felix T: Gene J Sandrowski	18 30	30/1	F 121lbs $221096	44 6-9-20 w%: 14% s%: 45%	4 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt	4 / 6 7.5F Turf HAW	3 / 7 1M Dirt	Fast Closer
8 X Savannamarie J: Abel Cedillo T: Nery Alvarez		12/1	F 121lbs $334576	19 5-8-12 w%: 26% s%: 63%	7 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	1 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt CD	1 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	Mid Pack Closer
9 A Sadie The Goat J: Alexander Chavez T: Nestor R Rivera	18 30	4/1	F 121lbs $333484	33 12-16-24 w%: 36% s%: 73%	1 / 5 1M Dirt TDN	1 / 4 1M Dirt TDN	1 / 6 1M Dirt TDN	Fastest Leader
10 B Beau Soleil J: Erik Asmussen T: Steven M Asmussen	16 35 56	8/1	F 121lbs $406330	29 7-11-16 w%: 24% s%: 55%	1 / 10 6.5F Dirt RP	3 / 6 5.5F Dirt RP	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt	Fastest Stalker
11 A Next Girl J: Jose L Ortiz T: W Robert Bailes		5/1	F 121lbs $536835	39 10-16-20 w%: 26% s%: 51%	6 / 12 7.0F Dirt LRL	6 / 12 7.0F Dirt LRL	4 / 8 1M Dirt	Fast Closer
12 B Lika Rolling Stone J: Axel Concepcion T: Antonio Arriaga		12/1	F 121lbs $273349	27 4-10-16 w%: 15% s%: 59%	2 / 6 1M Dirt BAQ	3 / 5 7.0F Dirt BAQ	3 / 8 1M Dirt BAQ	Fast Stalker
13 B Mercy Warren J: Brian J Hernandez T: Joe Sharp	18 39 61	3/1	M 121lbs $502170	25 6-8-9 w%: 24% s%: 36%	2 / 7 7.0F Dirt KEE	2 / 5 1M Dirt	1 / 6 1M Dirt SAR	Fast Stalker
14 X Lucky Ana J: Oscar Villarreal T: Sergio Donjuan		50/1	M 121lbs $249545	45 6-9-15 w%: 13% s%: 33%	6 / 7 1M Turf	3 / 5 1M Dirt	2 / 5 1M Dirt	Slower Leads

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Oops And Downs 3 / 33% / 100%		49/1	F 121lbs $167250	Assael Espinoza 47 / 13% / 40%	Dan Ward 36 / 8% / 44%	Slower Closer
2 Onmywaytosavthday 4 / 25% / 75%	18 30	14/1	F 121lbs $120485	Tyler Gaffalione 68 / 18% / 53%	David Jacobson 32 / 16% / 47%	Mid Pack Closer
3 Angelas Party Girl 9 / 44% / 89%	18 30	29/1	M 121lbs $269455	Francisco Arrieta 67 / 18% / 48%	Nik G Goodwin 4 / 25% / 50%	Fast Stalker
4 Pink Rose 3 / 67% / 100%		11/1	F 121lbs $161621	Abner Adorno 52 / 13% / 50%	E Padilla-Preciado 0 / 0% / 0%	Fast Stalker
5 Jubilant Joanie 7 / 43% / 71%	18 39 61	5/2	M 121lbs $362720	Irad Ortiz Jr 101 / 25% / 60%	Richard E Dutrow Jr 8 / 12% / 50%	Fast Closer
6 What If 0 / 0% / 0%		49/1	F 118lbs $100455	Andres Calleja 13 / 0% / 8%	Ismael Bahena 6 / 17% / 33%	Slowest Deep
7 Two Hearted 3 / 33% / 67%	18 30	29/1	F 121lbs $221096	Julio E Felix 12 / 25% / 75%	Gene J Sandrowski 3 / 33% / 67%	Fast Closer
8 Savannamarie 3 / 33% / 67%		11/1	F 121lbs $334576	Abel Cedillo 25 / 28% / 52%	Nery Alvarez 2 / 50% / 50%	Mid Pack Closer
9 Sadie The Goat 10 / 50% / 90%	18 30	3/1	F 121lbs $333484	Alexander Chavez 168 / 28% / 64%	Nestor R Rivera 142 / 24% / 58%	Fastest Leader
10 Beau Soleil 1 / 100% / 100%	16 35 56	7/1	F 121lbs $406330	Erik Asmussen 95 / 14% / 45%	Steven M Asmussen 235 / 17% / 43%	Fastest Stalker
11 Next Girl 4 / 50% / 100%		4/1	F 121lbs $536835	Jose L Ortiz 97 / 26% / 56%	W Robert Bailes 14 / 21% / 64%	Fast Closer
12 Lika Rolling Stone 5 / 0% / 60%		11/1	F 121lbs $273349	Axel Concepcion 65 / 22% / 42%	Antonio Arriaga 25 / 8% / 44%	Fast Stalker
13 Mercy Warren 5 / 40% / 60%	18 39 61	2/1	M 121lbs $502170	Brian J Hernandez Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Joe Sharp 57 / 28% / 47%	Fast Stalker
14 Lucky Ana 6 / 0% / 67%		49/1	M 121lbs $249545	Oscar Villarreal 59 / 8% / 49%	Sergio Donjuan 16 / 6% / 38%	Slower Leads

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 508

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Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 508

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 508