Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-15
End: 2025-11-15
Location: Churchill Downs

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Saturday November 15, 2025

Race Number 9 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Gelding & Horses on a Dirt track at a distance of 7.0F. The purse for this race is $125000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Papa Yo

Miacomet

American Outlaw

Soze

Twirling Troillet

Lemon Drop Shot

My Noble Knight

Takeschargesmiling

Freedom Stance

Global Sensation

Gilmore

Keen Cat

Nation

Unlimitedpotential

Penrod

Air Cav

Overbore

Bottles

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 B Papa Yo J: Tyler W Bacon T: Chris A Hartman	20 31	15/1	G 120lbs $241540	18 7-7-9 w%: 39% s%: 50%	9 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	4 / 8 1M Dirt CD	1 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	Fast Stalker
2 B Miacomet J: Mario Gutierrez T: Gustavo Esquivel		20/1	H 120lbs $369930	25 2-8-13 w%: 8% s%: 52%	4 / 6 6.5F Dirt	2 / 5 6.5F Dirt	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt CD	Fast Stalker
3 B American Outlaw J: Cristian A Torres T: Norm W Casse		20/1	G 120lbs $274272	28 4-12-15 w%: 14% s%: 54%	3 / 7 6.0F Dirt CD	5 / 6 6.0F Dirt	2 / 7 6.0F Dirt	Fast Stalker
4 A Soze J: Francisco Martine T: Martinez E Soto-	20 31	12/1	G 120lbs $278241	22 7-9-11 w%: 32% s%: 50%	6 / 6 6.0F Dirt DEL	1 / 7 6.0F Dirt MTH	1 / 5 5.5F Dirt DEL	Fast Leader
5 X Twirling Troillet J: Emmanuel Esquivel T: Jordan Blair		30/1	G 120lbs $236550	29 5-6-12 w%: 17% s%: 41%	9 / 12 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	1 / 10 1 1/8M Dirt CD	8 / 8 1M Dirt	Mid Pack Stalker
6 X Lemon Drop Shot J: Junior Alvarado T: Fernando Bahena		30/1	G 120lbs $292764	35 7-15-23 w%: 20% s%: 66%	1 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt	3 / 8 1M Dirt HAW	4 / 10 1 1/8M Dirt CD	Mid Pack Closer
7 B My Noble Knight J: Jose L Ortiz T: Thomas M Amoss		5/1	G 120lbs $406500	25 7-12-16 w%: 28% s%: 64%	2 / 12 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	3 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt PRX	1 / 5 1M Dirt SAR	Fast Stalker
8 A Takeschargesmiling J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Charlton Baker	20 31	9/2	G 120lbs $244060	18 7-11-13 w%: 39% s%: 72%	2 / 9 7.0F Dirt BAQ	1 / 8 7.0F Dirt BAQ	1 / 9 6.0F Dirt SAR	Fast Leads
9 B Freedom Stance J: Corey J Lanerie T: Matt Kordenbrock	20 31	30/1	G 118lbs $172724	18 6-8-13 w%: 33% s%: 72%	1 / 7 1M Dirt DEL	2 / 8 1M Dirt PEN	4 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt DEL	Mid Pack Leader
10 B Global Sensation J: Axel Concepcion T: Thomas Molloy		10/1	G 120lbs $540990	32 10-13-16 w%: 31% s%: 50%	4 / 7 6.5F Dirt CD	4 / 7 7.0F Dirt	3 / 12 1 1/16M Turf EVD	Fast Stalker
11 A Gilmore J: Luis Saez T: Joe Sharp		4/1	G 120lbs $778850	29 7-12-16 w%: 24% s%: 55%	5 / 8 1M Dirt CD	1 / 7 7.0F Dirt	1 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt SAR	Fastest Closer
12 B Keen Cat J: Brian J Hernandez T: Randy L Morse	11 24 38	8/1	G 120lbs $477810	35 9-15-20 w%: 26% s%: 57%	6 / 10 1 1/16M Turf	1 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	2 / 7 1M Dirt CD	Fastest Stalker
13 B Nation J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Robert B Hess Jr		6/1	G 122lbs $213800	15 4-6-10 w%: 27% s%: 67%	1 / 11 7.0F Dirt KEE	3 / 10 5.5F Dirt DMR	2 / 10 6.0F Dirt DMR	Fast Stalker
14 A Unlimitedpotential J: Jaime A Torres T: Mertkan Kantarmac		8/1	H 120lbs $397770	18 6-10-12 w%: 33% s%: 67%	6 / 8 1M Dirt CD	3 / 5 1M Dirt SAR	1 / 5 1M Dirt BAQ	Fast Leads
15 X Penrod J: Jaime A Torres T: Dana Hancock		30/1	G 120lbs $162150	15 3-3-4 w%: 20% s%: 27%	6 / 7 6.0F Dirt CD	3 / 8 6.5F Dirt CD	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt	Slower Closer
16 C Air Cav J: La Cruz Fernando T: Ismael Bahena		30/1	G 120lbs $322350	17 2-5-8 w%: 12% s%: 47%	3 / 11 6.0F Dirt KEE	9 / 12 7.0F Dirt CD	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt	Slowest Deep
17 X Overbore J: Alex Achard T: Kevin Fletcher		30/1	G 120lbs $469355	28 3-8-12 w%: 11% s%: 43%	4 / 6 5.0F Dirt	4 / 6 5.0F Dirt	6 / 6 7.0F Turf	Mid Pack Stalker
18 X Bottles J: James Graham T: Matt Kordenbrock		30/1	G 118lbs $174300	13 6-6-7 w%: 46% s%: 54%	7 / 8 1M Dirt PRX	1 / 6 1M Dirt PRX	1 / 6 1M Dirt PRX	Slower Closer

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Papa Yo 0 / 0% / 0%	20 31	14/1	G 120lbs $241540	Tyler W Bacon 0 / 0% / 0%	Chris A Hartman 18 / 28% / 56%	Fast Stalker
2 Miacomet 2 / 0% / 100%		19/1	H 120lbs $369930	Mario Gutierrez 17 / 6% / 18%	Gustavo Esquivel 3 / 0% / 0%	Fast Stalker
3 American Outlaw 0 / 0% / 0%		19/1	G 120lbs $274272	Cristian A Torres 34 / 6% / 47%	Norm W Casse 10 / 0% / 60%	Fast Stalker
4 Soze 0 / 0% / 0%	20 31	11/1	G 120lbs $278241	Francisco Martinez 44 / 7% / 43%	Martinez E Soto- 0 / 0% / 0%	Fast Leader
5 Twirling Troillet 3 / 33% / 33%		29/1	G 120lbs $236550	Emmanuel Esquivel 14 / 29% / 43%	Jordan Blair 10 / 10% / 30%	Mid Pack Stalker
6 Lemon Drop Shot 0 / 0% / 0%		29/1	G 120lbs $292764	Junior Alvarado 62 / 19% / 50%	Fernando Bahena 0 / 0% / 0%	Mid Pack Closer
7 My Noble Knight 0 / 0% / 0%		4/1	G 120lbs $406500	Jose L Ortiz 102 / 21% / 50%	Thomas M Amoss 20 / 20% / 40%	Fast Stalker
8 Takeschargesmiling 3 / 33% / 100%	20 31	7/2	G 120lbs $244060	Tyler Gaffalione 76 / 22% / 59%	Charlton Baker 13 / 8% / 46%	Fast Leads
9 Freedom Stance 0 / 0% / 0%	20 31	29/1	G 118lbs $172724	Corey J Lanerie 36 / 19% / 42%	Matt Kordenbrock 2 / 0% / 0%	Mid Pack Leader
10 Global Sensation 7 / 57% / 57%		9/1	G 120lbs $540990	Axel Concepcion 26 / 12% / 27%	Thomas Molloy 2 / 0% / 0%	Fast Stalker
11 Gilmore 4 / 25% / 100%		3/1	G 120lbs $778850	Luis Saez 140 / 18% / 40%	Joe Sharp 32 / 25% / 53%	Fastest Closer
12 Keen Cat 3 / 33% / 100%	11 24 38	7/1	G 120lbs $477810	Brian J Hernandez Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Randy L Morse 5 / 20% / 40%	Fastest Stalker
13 Nation 1 / 100% / 100%		5/1	G 122lbs $213800	Irad Ortiz Jr 146 / 21% / 51%	Robert B Hess Jr 1 / 0% / 100%	Fast Stalker
14 Unlimitedpotential 5 / 20% / 100%		7/1	H 120lbs $397770	Jaime A Torres 42 / 7% / 29%	Mertkan Kantarmaci 3 / 33% / 33%	Fast Leads
15 Penrod 1 / 0% / 0%		29/1	G 120lbs $162150	Jaime A Torres 42 / 7% / 29%	Dana Hancock 0 / 0% / 0%	Slower Closer
16 Air Cav 1 / 0% / 0%		29/1	G 120lbs $322350	La Cruz Fernando De 2 / 50% / 50%	Ismael Bahena 8 / 0% / 0%	Slowest Deep
17 Overbore 4 / 25% / 50%		29/1	G 120lbs $469355	Alex Achard 4 / 0% / 25%	Kevin Fletcher 0 / 0% / 0%	Mid Pack Stalker
18 Bottles 2 / 50% / 50%		29/1	G 118lbs $174300	James Graham 16 / 0% / 44%	Matt Kordenbrock 2 / 0% / 0%	Slower Closer

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 432

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 432

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 432