Saturday November 15, 2025
Race Number 10 at Churchill Downs is a
Allowance
featuring 3+ year old Gelding & Colts on a
Dirt track at a distance of
1
1/8M.
The purse for this race is $200000.
Figure Comparison
Winning Profiles
Win % / Place % / Show %
Gilded Craken
1
Cadet Corps
2
Happy Strike
3
Overstatement
4
Alternate Reality
5
Welaka
6
Double Your Money
7
Le Gris
8
Carolo Rapido
9
Bernin Hot
10
Dance Some Mo
11
Navajo Warrior
12
Point Dume
13
American Law
14
Brilliant Man
15
Dr. Storm
16
|
|
|
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Career | Last Start | 2nd Last | 3rd Last | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
B
Gilded Craken
J: Jose L Ortiz
T: Joe Sharp
|
|
10/1 |
G 121lbs $490670 |
23
5-12-14
w%: 22%
s%: 61% |
9 / 10
1
1/16M
Turf
KEE |
2 / 10
1.3125M
Turf
KD |
2 / 7
1M
Dirt
SAR |
Mid Pack
Leads |
|
2
X
Cadet Corps
|
|
6/1 |
G 121lbs $557684 |
38
18-21-27
w%: 47%
s%: 71% |
3 / 8
1M
Dirt
DEL |
1 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
|
3 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
MTH |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
3
X
Happy Strike
|
|
20/1 |
G 121lbs $201905 |
14
7-8-9
w%: 50%
s%: 64% |
1 / 5
1M
Dirt
PRM |
1 / 6
1M
Dirt
PRM |
1 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
PRM |
Slower
Stalker |
|
4
X
Overstatement
J: Luan Machado
|
|
20/1 |
G 121lbs $353000 |
16
3-5-8
w%: 19%
s%: 50% |
1 / 8
1
1/16M
Dirt
KEE |
3 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
2 / 6
1M
Dirt
|
Slower
Closer |
|
5
X
Alternate Reality
T: Joe Sharp
|
|
15/1 |
G 121lbs $718430 |
34
6-13-18
w%: 18%
s%: 53% |
2 / 4
7.0F
Dirt
KEE |
2 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
5 / 8
1M
Dirt
SAR |
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
6
X
Welaka
|
|
15/1 |
G 121lbs $744260 |
26
6-8-13
w%: 23%
s%: 50% |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
4 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
|
1 / 7
1
1/8M
Dirt
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
7
X
Double Your Money
|
|
6/1 |
G 121lbs $427620 |
25
5-13-16
w%: 20%
s%: 64% |
1 / 6
1
1/6M
Dirt
BAQ |
2 / 7
1.5M
Dirt
PRX |
2 / 10
1M
Dirt
PRX |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
8
X
Le Gris
|
|
30/1 |
G 121lbs $514715 |
17
3-4-7
w%: 18%
s%: 41% |
8 / 11
1
1/16M
Turf
BAQ |
4 / 7
1M
Dirt
SAR |
1 / 4
1
1/8M
Dirt
SAR |
Slower
Closer |
|
9
C
Carolo Rapido
J: Ben Curtis
|
|
30/1 |
C 121lbs $596272 |
18
5-5-7
w%: 28%
s%: 39% |
4 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
|
5 / 7
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
1 / 8
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
Slower
Deep |
|
10
B
Bernin Hot
J: Luis Saez
|
|
4/1 |
G 121lbs $470990 |
20
7-8-11
w%: 35%
s%: 55% |
1 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
CD |
2 / 6
1
1/8M
Dirt
|
1 / 7
1M
Dirt
|
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
11
X
Dance Some Mo
|
|
30/1 |
G 123lbs $672645 |
48
6-17-25
w%: 12%
s%: 52% |
1 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
IND |
1 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
IND |
3 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
Slower
Stalker |
|
12
B
Navajo Warrior
|
|
7/2 |
G 121lbs $303180 |
19
9-13-15
w%: 47%
s%: 79% |
1 / 9
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
SAR |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
SA |
Fastest
Stalker |
|
13
X
Point Dume
|
|
9/2 |
G 121lbs $519152 |
36
10-19-24
w%: 28%
s%: 67% |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
PRX |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
DEL |
6 / 6
1
1/16M
Turf
PEN |
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
14
X
American Law
|
|
30/1 |
G 121lbs $656009 |
39
6-14-21
w%: 15%
s%: 54% |
2 / 7
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
3 / 7
6.5F
Dirt
CD |
4 / 10
1M
Dirt
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
15
C
Brilliant Man
J: Gabriel Saez
|
|
50/1 |
C 121lbs $296400 |
16
1-6-8
w%: 6%
s%: 50% |
2 / 9
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
3 / 9
1M
Dirt
CD |
5 / 10
1
1/16M
Dirt
OP |
Slowest
Deep |
|
16
B
Dr. Storm
|
|
30/1 |
G 121lbs $133175 |
16
4-9-11
w%: 25%
s%: 69% |
5 / 12
1
1/8M
Dirt
KEE |
1 / 5
1M
Turf
|
1 / 6
1M
Dirt
|
Fast
Deep |
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Jockey | Trainer | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Gilded Craken
1
/ 100%
/ 100%
|
|
9/1 |
G 121lbs $490670 |
Jose L Ortiz
72
/ 19%
/ 58%
|
Joe Sharp
28
/ 21%
/ 54%
|
Mid Pack
Leads |
|
2
Cadet Corps
2
/ 50%
/ 100%
|
|
5/1 |
G 121lbs $557684 |
Junior Alvarado
20
/ 10%
/ 45%
|
Kelly J Breen
2
/ 50%
/ 100%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
3
Happy Strike
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
19/1 |
G 121lbs $201905 |
Emmanuel Esquivel
9
/ 22%
/ 44%
|
F Dewaine Loy
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
4
Overstatement
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
19/1 |
G 121lbs $353000 |
Luan Machado
16
/ 12%
/ 38%
|
Kenneth G Miller
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Slower
Closer |
|
5
Alternate Reality
5
/ 0%
/ 20%
|
|
14/1 |
G 121lbs $718430 |
Brian J Hernandez Jr
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Joe Sharp
28
/ 21%
/ 54%
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
6
Welaka
4
/ 25%
/ 25%
|
|
14/1 |
G 121lbs $744260 |
Adam Beschizza
5
/ 0%
/ 40%
|
Kelsey Danner
3
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
7
Double Your Money
1
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
5/1 |
G 121lbs $427620 |
Melvis Gonzalez
4
/ 0%
/ 50%
|
Benjamin J Dunn
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
8
Le Gris
4
/ 25%
/ 50%
|
|
29/1 |
G 121lbs $514715 |
Axel Concepcion
12
/ 0%
/ 17%
|
Rudy R Rodriguez
41
/ 22%
/ 61%
|
Slower
Closer |
|
9
Carolo Rapido
8
/ 12%
/ 12%
|
|
29/1 |
C 121lbs $596272 |
Ben Curtis
10
/ 10%
/ 50%
|
Eddie Kenneally
5
/ 0%
/ 40%
|
Slower
Deep |
|
10
Bernin Hot
2
/ 50%
/ 100%
|
|
3/1 |
G 121lbs $470990 |
Luis Saez
63
/ 24%
/ 49%
|
Rohan G Crichton
1
/ 100%
/ 100%
|
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
11
Dance Some Mo
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
29/1 |
G 123lbs $672645 |
Francisco Arrieta
13
/ 15%
/ 46%
|
Berg Thomas L Van
8
/ 12%
/ 12%
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
12
Navajo Warrior
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
5/2 |
G 121lbs $303180 |
Irad Ortiz Jr
72
/ 24%
/ 58%
|
Saffie A Joseph Jr
28
/ 11%
/ 57%
|
Fastest
Stalker |
|
13
Point Dume
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
7/2 |
G 121lbs $519152 |
Tyler Gaffalione
15
/ 20%
/ 47%
|
Timothy C Kreiser
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
|
14
American Law
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
29/1 |
G 121lbs $656009 |
Jaime A Torres
16
/ 19%
/ 50%
|
Sarah E Shaffer
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
15
Brilliant Man
3
/ 0%
/ 67%
|
|
49/1 |
C 121lbs $296400 |
Gabriel Saez
7
/ 0%
/ 14%
|
S Jade Cunningham
1
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
Slowest
Deep |
|
16
Dr. Storm
2
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
29/1 |
G 121lbs $133175 |
Eduardo Gallardo
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Edgar Espinoza
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Fast
Deep |
Superfecta Pick*
10
12
13
1
Up to $250 in Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
See our other partners
*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.
Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 135
View As:
View As: