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Friday June 12, 2026
Race Number 9 at Churchill Downs is a
Allowance
featuring 3+ year old Fillys on a
Turf track at a distance of
5.5F.
The purse for this race is $127000.
Figure Comparison
Winning Profiles
Win % / Place % / Show %
Lilies N Paradise
1
Bourbon Notes
2
Twirling Claire
3
Triskelion
4
Something Stronger
5
Sweet Surrender
6
Blushing Justice
7
If If If
8
Rational Theory
9
Z Z'S
10
|
|
|
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Career | Last Start | 2nd Last | 3rd Last | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
X
Lilies N Paradise
|
|
20/1 |
F 118lbs $161720 |
4
1-1-3
w%: 25%
s%: 75% |
3 / 8
5.0F
Dirt
CD |
3 / 6
6.0F
Dirt
DEL |
5 / 8
6.0F
Dirt
CD |
Slower
Stalker |
|
2
X
Bourbon Notes
T: Ian R Wilkes
|
|
15/1 |
F 118lbs $140080 |
8
1-1-4
w%: 12%
s%: 50% |
3 / 9
5.0F
Dirt
IND |
3 / 9
5.0F
Dirt
IND |
11 / 12
5.5F
Turf
KEE |
Slower
Stalker |
|
3
B
Twirling Claire
|
|
5/2 |
F 120lbs $105940 |
4
1-3-4
w%: 25%
s%: 100% |
1 / 11
5.0F
Turf
CD |
2 / 11
5.5F
Turf
KEE |
3 / 8
5.5F
Turf
FG |
Fast
Stalker |
|
4
X
Triskelion
J: Luis Saez
|
|
7/2 |
F 118lbs $99100 |
4
1-2-4
w%: 25%
s%: 100% |
1 / 10
5.5F
Dirt
GP |
3 / 11
5.5F
Turf
KEE |
2 / 10
6.5F
Turf
KD |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
5
B
Something Stronger
J: Ben Curtis
|
|
9/2 |
F 123lbs $168000 |
9
1-6-6
w%: 11%
s%: 67% |
2 / 8
5.0F
Dirt
CD |
2 / 12
5.5F
Turf
KEE |
2 / 9
5.5F
Turf
FG |
Fast
Deep |
|
6
X
Sweet Surrender
J: Luan Machado
|
|
15/1 |
F 123lbs $111220 |
6
1-2-2
w%: 17%
s%: 33% |
10 / 10
1
1/8M
Turf
KEE |
1 / 8
1M
Weather
TP |
2 / 13
1
1/16M
Weather
WO |
Slowest
Stalker |
|
7
X
Blushing Justice
|
|
12/1 |
F 118lbs $108600 |
2
1-1-1
w%: 50%
s%: 50% |
4 / 6
1M
Dirt
CD |
1 / 9
5.5F
Turf
FG |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
|
8
B
If If If
|
|
8/1 |
F 118lbs $54400 |
2
1-2-2
w%: 50%
s%: 100% |
1 / 6
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
2 / 9
5.0F
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
|
9
A
Rational Theory
|
|
10/1 |
F 123lbs $309200 |
11
2-4-7
w%: 18%
s%: 64% |
1 / 9
6.0F
Dirt
CD |
1 / 9
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
2 / 9
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
Fast
Leads |
|
10
A
Z Z's
J: Jose L Ortiz
|
|
6/1 |
F 118lbs $60000 |
2
1-1-1
w%: 50%
s%: 50% |
6 / 11
6.5F
Turf
KD |
1 / 10
5.5F
Turf
|
Fastest
Closer |
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Jockey | Trainer | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Lilies N Paradise
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
19/1 |
F 118lbs $161720 |
Florent Geroux
25
/ 16%
/ 40%
|
Michael J Maker
49
/ 12%
/ 47%
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
2
Bourbon Notes
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
14/1 |
F 118lbs $140080 |
Francisco Arrieta
4
/ 25%
/ 25%
|
Ian R Wilkes
14
/ 0%
/ 29%
|
Slower
Stalker |
|
3
Twirling Claire
3
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
3/2 |
F 120lbs $105940 |
Irad Ortiz Jr
93
/ 15%
/ 45%
|
Gregory D Foley
45
/ 18%
/ 40%
|
Fast
Stalker |
|
4
Triskelion
2
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
5/2 |
F 118lbs $99100 |
Luis Saez
76
/ 18%
/ 38%
|
George R Arnold II
8
/ 25%
/ 38%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
5
Something Stronger
2
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
7/2 |
F 123lbs $168000 |
Ben Curtis
50
/ 8%
/ 26%
|
Albert M Stall Jr
28
/ 14%
/ 43%
|
Fast
Deep |
|
6
Sweet Surrender
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
14/1 |
F 123lbs $111220 |
Luan Machado
33
/ 12%
/ 30%
|
Victoria H Oliver
20
/ 10%
/ 30%
|
Slowest
Stalker |
|
7
Blushing Justice
1
/ 100%
/ 100%
|
|
11/1 |
F 118lbs $108600 |
Brian J Hernandez Jr
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Kinnon LaRose
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
|
8
If If If
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
7/1 |
F 118lbs $54400 |
Edgar Morales
38
/ 13%
/ 37%
|
Chris A Hartman
30
/ 10%
/ 43%
|
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
9
Rational Theory
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
9/1 |
F 123lbs $309200 |
Keith J Asmussen
9
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Steven M Asmussen
40
/ 5%
/ 18%
|
Fast
Leads |
|
10
Z Z's
1
/ 100%
/ 100%
|
|
5/1 |
F 118lbs $60000 |
Jose L Ortiz
121
/ 21%
/ 47%
|
Brendan P Walsh
36
/ 17%
/ 53%
|
Fastest
Closer |
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*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.
Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 103
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