Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-09-26
End: 2025-09-26
Location: Churchill Downs

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Friday September 26, 2025

Race Number 8 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 80000.0K featuring 3+ year old Gelding & Colts on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $82000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Escalation Clause

Fielding

Nudge

The Warden

Mega Magic

Express Line

Baytown Bruiser

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 A Escalation Clause J: Francisco Arrieta T: Greg Compton		9/2	G 122lbs $97000	3 1-2-2 w%: 33% s%: 67%	2 / 8 1M Dirt BAQ	5 / 13 7.0F Dirt BAQ	1 / 7 1M Dirt AQU	Fast Leads
2 C Fielding J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Jonathan Maldonad	14 29 45	5/1	G 120lbs $38880	3 2-2-2 w%: 67% s%: 67%	1 / 9 1M Dirt LRL	1 / 9 1M Dirt LRL	12 / 12 1M Dirt	Slower Deep
3 A Nudge J: Jose L Ortiz T: Joe Sharp	24 48 71	2/1	G 118lbs $260000	7 1-1-2 w%: 14% s%: 29%	5 / 11 1M Turf KD	6 / 12 1M Turf	1 / 6 1M Dirt GP	Fast Leader
4 B The Warden J: Junior Alvarado T: Ron Moquett	14 29 45	3/1	C 118lbs $283282	13 1-4-6 w%: 8% s%: 46%	8 / 12 6.0F Turf KD	9 / 11 1M Turf	3 / 9 1 1/16M Turf	Fastest Stalker
5 X Mega Magic J: Luis Saez T: Albert M Stall Jr	10 22 35	12/1	C 118lbs $72430	6 1-3-4 w%: 17% s%: 67%	10 / 10 1M Dirt SAR	2 / 6 7.0F Dirt SAR	2 / 8 1M Dirt CD	Slowest Leader
6 B Express Line J: Corey J Lanerie T: Grant T Forster	10 22 35	15/1	G 122lbs $113580	9 1-1-2 w%: 11% s%: 22%	5 / 8 1M Dirt	8 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt CD	5 / 8 6.0F Dirt CD	Mid Pack Leads
7 B Baytown Bruiser J: Walter A Rodrigue T: Barry L King	21 42 64	6/1	G 122lbs $183120	14 1-3-4 w%: 7% s%: 29%	2 / 10 7.0F Dirt CD	6 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt	7 / 8 1 1/16M Turf CD	Mid Pack Leads

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Escalation Clause 2 / 50% / 100%		7/2	G 122lbs $97000	Francisco Arrieta 68 / 16% / 44%	Greg Compton 42 / 26% / 43%	Fast Leads
2 Fielding 1 / 100% / 100%	14 29 45	4/1	G 120lbs $38880	Irad Ortiz Jr 118 / 25% / 63%	Jonathan Maldonado 19 / 32% / 68%	Slower Deep
3 Nudge 0 / 0% / 0%	24 48 71	1/1	G 118lbs $260000	Jose L Ortiz 103 / 26% / 56%	Joe Sharp 53 / 28% / 49%	Fast Leader
4 The Warden 3 / 33% / 67%	14 29 45	2/1	C 118lbs $283282	Junior Alvarado 66 / 21% / 56%	Ron Moquett 34 / 21% / 35%	Fastest Stalker
5 Mega Magic 2 / 0% / 50%	10 22 35	11/1	C 118lbs $72430	Luis Saez 109 / 22% / 53%	Albert M Stall Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Slowest Leader
6 Express Line 1 / 0% / 0%	10 22 35	14/1	G 122lbs $113580	Corey J Lanerie 41 / 5% / 27%	Grant T Forster 6 / 17% / 17%	Mid Pack Leads
7 Baytown Bruiser 2 / 0% / 50%	21 42 64	5/1	G 122lbs $183120	Walter A Rodriguez 21 / 10% / 24%	Barry L King 7 / 0% / 29%	Mid Pack Leads

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 492

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

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Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 492

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 492