Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-13
End: 2025-11-13
Location: Churchill Downs

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Thursday November 13, 2025

Race Number 3 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 40000.0K featuring 3 year old Fillys on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $78000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Surprise

Rando

Princess Ny

Spying

Parking Lot Pours

Mad About Marie

La Marinera

Theprincessfactor

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 A Surprise J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Brad H Cox	29 57 86	2/1	F 118lbs $86360	8 2-2-6 w%: 25% s%: 75%	3 / 6 1M Dirt IND	3 / 6 1M Dirt IND	3 / 6 1M Dirt IND	Fastest Leader
2 C Rando J: Keith J Asmussen T: Steven M Asmussen	19 31	15/1	F 118lbs $113340	15 2-4-5 w%: 13% s%: 33%	8 / 12 1M Dirt CD	7 / 9 1M Dirt CD	6 / 10 1 1/16M Turf IND	Slower Deep
3 X Princess Ny J: Luis Saez T: Christopher Davis	17 35 55	4/1	F 120lbs $77590	10 2-2-4 w%: 20% s%: 40%	1 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	10 / 10 7.0F Dirt CD	3 / 8 1M Dirt	Slower Stalker
4 X Spying J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Brendan P Walsh	21 44 68	3/1	F 118lbs $109200	7 2-2-2 w%: 29% s%: 29%	8 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt CD	4 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt	1 / 8 1M Dirt	Slower Leads
5 B Parking Lot Pours J: Walter A Rodrigue T: Steven M Asmussen	19 31	12/1	F 118lbs $202699	18 1-3-9 w%: 6% s%: 50%	6 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	4 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	1 / 6 1M Dirt CD	Mid Pack Leads
6 X Mad About Marie J: Emmanuel Esquivel T: Genaro Garcia		15/1	F 118lbs $162160	12 2-2-4 w%: 17% s%: 33%	7 / 12 1M Dirt CD	3 / 7 1M Dirt CD	6 / 9 1M Dirt CD	Slower Leads
7 X La Marinera J: Jann N Hernandez T: Kelly A Fernandez		20/1	F 118lbs $384135	29 1-6-13 w%: 3% s%: 45%	4 / 6 6.0F Dirt IND	4 / 6 6.0F Dirt IND	4 / 6 6.0F Dirt IND	Slower Stalker
8 X Theprincessfactor J: Jose L Ortiz T: Joe Sharp	17 35 55	7/2	F 118lbs $55200	4 1-1-1 w%: 25% s%: 25%	9 / 11 7.0F Dirt CD	6 / 7 6.0F Dirt SAR	1 / 5 1M Dirt CD	Slowest Closer

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Surprise 1 / 100% / 100%	29 57 86	1/1	F 118lbs $86360	Irad Ortiz Jr 103 / 24% / 61%	Brad H Cox 138 / 36% / 70%	Fastest Leader
2 Rando 5 / 0% / 20%	19 31	14/1	F 118lbs $113340	Keith J Asmussen 73 / 8% / 27%	Steven M Asmussen 238 / 17% / 43%	Slower Deep
3 Princess Ny 3 / 0% / 33%	17 35 55	3/1	F 120lbs $77590	Luis Saez 100 / 19% / 50%	Christopher Davis 21 / 24% / 43%	Slower Stalker
4 Spying 1 / 100% / 100%	21 44 68	2/1	F 118lbs $109200	Tyler Gaffalione 69 / 17% / 52%	Brendan P Walsh 26 / 19% / 50%	Slower Leads
5 Parking Lot Pours 4 / 25% / 75%	19 31	11/1	F 118lbs $202699	Walter A Rodriguez 22 / 9% / 27%	Steven M Asmussen 238 / 17% / 43%	Mid Pack Leads
6 Mad About Marie 5 / 20% / 40%		14/1	F 118lbs $162160	Emmanuel Esquivel 79 / 25% / 47%	Genaro Garcia 52 / 13% / 38%	Slower Leads
7 La Marinera 0 / 0% / 0%		19/1	F 118lbs $384135	Jann N Hernandez 17 / 12% / 41%	Kelly A Fernandez 0 / 0% / 0%	Slower Stalker
8 Theprincessfactor 1 / 100% / 100%	17 35 55	5/2	F 118lbs $55200	Jose L Ortiz 97 / 26% / 56%	Joe Sharp 57 / 28% / 47%	Slowest Closer

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 507

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 507

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 507