Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2026-09-19
End: 2026-09-19
Location: Churchill Downs

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Saturday September 19, 2026

Race Number 8 at Churchill Downs is a Stake featuring 3 year old Fillys on a Dirt track at a distance of 7.0F. The purse for this race is $300000.

Win % / Place % / Show %

Explora

My Steel Magnolia

Where Luck Lives

Conceit

Movie Night

A Fine Chardonnay

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 A Explora J: Juan J Hernandez T: Bob Baffert	32 60 88	1/2	F 122lbs $2705000	13 8-12-12 w%: 62% s%: 92%	1 / 8 7.0F Dirt SAR	1 / 6 7.0F Dirt CD	4 / 13 1 1/8M Dirt CD	Fastest Leader
2 X My Steel Magnolia J: Cristian A Torres T: Caio Caramori	14 30 47	30/1	F 118lbs $83920	4 1-3-4 w%: 25% s%: 100%	3 / 6 1M Dirt	1 / 9 7.0F Dirt	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt	Slowest Stalker
3 B Where Luck Lives J: Francisco Arrieta T: Brian A Lynch	23 47 72	12/1	F 118lbs $214200	4 2-2-2 w%: 50% s%: 50%	8 / 8 7.0F Dirt SAR	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt CD	1 / 10 6.5F Dirt KEE	Fast Deep
4 B Conceit J: Mario Gutierrez T: Brad H Cox	14 30 47	7/2	F 120lbs $278132	7 4-5-6 w%: 57% s%: 86%	1 / 6 7.0F Dirt	1 / 4 1M Dirt CD	3 / 9 1M Weather TP	Mid Pack Leads
5 X Movie Night J: Axel Concepcion T: William Walden	20 33	9/2	F 118lbs $170200	4 2-3-3 w%: 50% s%: 75%	6 / 8 7.0F Dirt SAR	1 / 7 6.5F Dirt CD	1 / 11 6.0F Dirt CD	Mid Pack Stalker
6 X A Fine Chardonnay J: Brian J Hernandez Jr T: Ian R Wilkes	20 33	6/1	F 120lbs $632750	8 3-4-7 w%: 38% s%: 88%	2 / 6 7.0F Dirt	3 / 10 6.5F Dirt SAR	5 / 6 7.0F Dirt CD	Mid Pack Closer

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Explora 4 / 75% / 100%	32 60 88	-1/2	F 122lbs $2705000	Juan J Hernandez 22 / 32% / 64%	Bob Baffert 42 / 33% / 60%	Fastest Leader
2 My Steel Magnolia 1 / 100% / 100%	14 30 47	29/1	F 118lbs $83920	Cristian A Torres 33 / 9% / 36%	Caio Caramori 2 / 100% / 100%	Slowest Stalker
3 Where Luck Lives 1 / 0% / 0%	23 47 72	11/1	F 118lbs $214200	Francisco Arrieta 32 / 9% / 38%	Brian A Lynch 21 / 29% / 38%	Fast Deep
4 Conceit 1 / 100% / 100%	14 30 47	5/2	F 120lbs $278132	Mario Gutierrez 21 / 10% / 29%	Brad H Cox 85 / 32% / 69%	Mid Pack Leads
5 Movie Night 1 / 0% / 0%	20 33	7/2	F 118lbs $170200	Axel Concepcion 45 / 7% / 31%	William Walden 29 / 17% / 48%	Mid Pack Stalker
6 A Fine Chardonnay 3 / 33% / 67%	20 33	5/1	F 120lbs $632750	Brian J Hernandez Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Ian R Wilkes 14 / 14% / 43%	Mid Pack Closer

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*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 478

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Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 478