Thursday September 11, 2025
Race Number 1 at Churchill Downs is a
Claiming
12500.0K
featuring 3+ year old Gelding & Colts on a
Dirt track at a distance of
1M.
The purse for this race is $45000.
Figure Comparison
Winning Profiles
Win % / Place % / Show %
Daddy Justify
1
Ember
2
Mission Mike
3
Agent Creed
4
Paynter'S Canvas
5
Air Of Defiance
6
Proven Hope
7
Nikolaou
8
Synthesis
9
Noahs Ark
10
Succession Gold
11
Sittin On Go
12
|
|
Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Career | Last Start | 2nd Last | 3rd Last | Style |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
B
Daddy Justify
J: Gabriel Saez
|
|
5/1 |
G 122lbs $123640 |
22
4-6-11
w%: 18%
s%: 50% |
3 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
3 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
10 / 11
1M
Turf
|
Fast
Stalker |
2
X
Ember
|
|
12/1 |
G 122lbs $352670 |
33
9-14-19
w%: 27%
s%: 58% |
5 / 9
7.0F
Dirt
|
5 / 7
1
1/8M
Dirt
CD |
4 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
3
X
Mission Mike
J: Luan Machado
|
|
15/1 |
G 122lbs $65445 |
17
4-4-8
w%: 24%
s%: 47% |
8 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
8 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
1 / 5
1M
Dirt
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
4
B
Agent Creed
|
|
12/1 |
G 122lbs $701079 |
34
4-10-14
w%: 12%
s%: 41% |
4 / 7
1
1/16M
Turf
|
3 / 8
1
1/16M
Turf
|
4 / 5
1M
Dirt
IND |
Mid Pack
Leader |
5
X
Paynter's Canvas
J: Jane Elliott
|
|
20/1 |
G 122lbs $500320 |
57
10-14-16
w%: 18%
s%: 28% |
5 / 7
1M
Dirt
IND |
5 / 7
1M
Dirt
IND |
8 / 8
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
Slower
Stalker |
6
B
Air Of Defiance
T: Joe Sharp
|
|
5/2 |
G 122lbs $216600 |
10
3-4-4
w%: 30%
s%: 40% |
1 / 8
1M
Dirt
|
1 / 9
1M
Dirt
|
4 / 9
6.0F
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Leads |
7
A
Proven Hope
|
|
3/1 |
G 122lbs $459784 |
37
6-12-20
w%: 16%
s%: 54% |
4 / 6
1M
Dirt
RP |
4 / 8
1
1/16M
Dirt
CD |
2 / 8
1M
Dirt
CD |
Fast
Leads |
8
X
Nikolaou
J: Abel Cedillo
|
|
20/1 |
G 122lbs $454332 |
28
6-10-14
w%: 21%
s%: 50% |
6 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
6 / 11
1M
Turf
IND |
6 / 8
1
1/8M
Dirt
CD |
Slower
Closer |
9
B
Synthesis
|
|
9/2 |
G 122lbs $927450 |
32
4-8-11
w%: 12%
s%: 34% |
5 / 6
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
3 / 11
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
5 / 9
6.0F
Dirt
OP |
Fastest
Deep |
10
X
Noahs Ark
T: Mike Norris
|
|
30/1 |
G 122lbs $169006 |
14
4-5-7
w%: 29%
s%: 50% |
4 / 7
6.0F
Dirt
|
10 / 12
1M
Turf
CD |
3 / 9
1M
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
11
X
Succession Gold
T: Jose Orantes
|
|
30/1 |
C 122lbs $59456 |
17
3-6-7
w%: 18%
s%: 41% |
1 / 8
1
1/16M
Turf
|
4 / 9
1M
Turf
|
4 / 4
1M
Dirt
|
Slowest
Stalker |
12
X
Sittin On Go
|
|
12/1 |
G 122lbs $331475 |
40
6-7-17
w%: 15%
s%: 42% |
5 / 8
1M
Dirt
|
4 / 5
1M
Dirt
CD |
4 / 10
7.0F
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Stalker |
Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions | M/L | Info | Jockey | Trainer | Style |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Daddy Justify
6
/ 17%
/ 67%
|
|
4/1 |
G 122lbs $123640 |
Gabriel Saez
33
/ 3%
/ 36%
|
Carlos Santamaria
20
/ 20%
/ 45%
|
Fast
Stalker |
2
Ember
6
/ 17%
/ 50%
|
|
11/1 |
G 122lbs $352670 |
Keith J Asmussen
80
/ 11%
/ 29%
|
Steven M Asmussen
263
/ 18%
/ 44%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
3
Mission Mike
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
14/1 |
G 122lbs $65445 |
Luan Machado
52
/ 8%
/ 38%
|
Steven F Cahill
4
/ 0%
/ 75%
|
Mid Pack
Closer |
4
Agent Creed
2
/ 0%
/ 50%
|
|
11/1 |
G 122lbs $701079 |
Edgar Morales
93
/ 4%
/ 39%
|
Niccolo Troiani
3
/ 0%
/ 33%
|
Mid Pack
Leader |
5
Paynter's Canvas
8
/ 0%
/ 12%
|
|
19/1 |
G 122lbs $500320 |
Jane Elliott
35
/ 3%
/ 9%
|
Michael E Lauer
25
/ 0%
/ 40%
|
Slower
Stalker |
6
Air Of Defiance
3
/ 67%
/ 67%
|
|
3/2 |
G 122lbs $216600 |
Julien R Leparoux
52
/ 17%
/ 38%
|
Joe Sharp
49
/ 27%
/ 49%
|
Mid Pack
Leads |
7
Proven Hope
14
/ 14%
/ 50%
|
|
2/1 |
G 122lbs $459784 |
Cristian A Torres
106
/ 16%
/ 42%
|
Robertino Diodoro
86
/ 27%
/ 59%
|
Fast
Leads |
8
Nikolaou
6
/ 17%
/ 50%
|
|
19/1 |
G 122lbs $454332 |
Abel Cedillo
29
/ 24%
/ 52%
|
Jerry Dixon Jr
3
/ 0%
/ 33%
|
Slower
Closer |
9
Synthesis
6
/ 17%
/ 33%
|
|
7/2 |
G 122lbs $927450 |
Tyler Gaffalione
72
/ 15%
/ 51%
|
David Jacobson
36
/ 14%
/ 50%
|
Fastest
Deep |
10
Noahs Ark
1
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
29/1 |
G 122lbs $169006 |
Yarmarie L Correa
50
/ 24%
/ 54%
|
Mike Norris
6
/ 0%
/ 17%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |
11
Succession Gold
3
/ 33%
/ 33%
|
|
29/1 |
C 122lbs $59456 |
Oscar Villarreal
68
/ 13%
/ 47%
|
Jose Orantes
3
/ 0%
/ 33%
|
Slowest
Stalker |
12
Sittin On Go
11
/ 18%
/ 45%
|
|
11/1 |
G 122lbs $331475 |
Brian J Hernandez Jr
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Chris A Hartman
44
/ 16%
/ 43%
|
Mid Pack
Stalker |

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 484
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