Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-23
End: 2025-11-23
Location: Churchill Downs

« Race Listing

Sunday November 23, 2025

Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 30000.0K featuring 3+ year old Geldings on a Dirt track at a distance of 1 1/16M. The purse for this race is $63000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Polar Bear Plunge

Cloudy Holiday

Mo Hope

Askari

Groveland

Sprint Out Pass

Raising Kane

Tejas

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 X Polar Bear Plunge J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Jeff A Hiles		4/1	G 121lbs $210210	21 3-6-7 w%: 14% s%: 33%	5 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt CD	4 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	1 / 10 1M Turf	Mid Pack Stalker
2 X Cloudy Holiday J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Kelli Martinez		8/1	G 123lbs $174140	20 2-6-10 w%: 10% s%: 50%	1 / 6 1M Dirt	2 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	4 / 5 1M Dirt PRM	Slowest Leads
3 X Mo Hope J: Erik Asmussen T: Steven M Asmussen	27 54 81	8/1	G 121lbs $183155	18 2-7-9 w%: 11% s%: 50%	3 / 7 1M Dirt CD	5 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt CD	3 / 6 1M Dirt	Slower Leader
4 B Askari J: Luis Saez T: Christopher Davis	18 38 58	3/1	G 121lbs $275130	14 2-3-4 w%: 14% s%: 29%	6 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	2 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt CD	7 / 11 1M Turf KD	Fast Deep
5 B Groveland J: Axel Concepcion T: Caio Caramori	21 33	7/2	G 121lbs $471620	14 2-4-6 w%: 14% s%: 43%	6 / 7 1M Dirt CD	7 / 10 1 1/16M Weather TP	5 / 11 1M Weather TP	Fastest Deep
6 X Sprint Out Pass J: Jose L Ortiz T: Kelli Martinez	14 30 48	5/1	G 118lbs $224380	15 2-2-4 w%: 13% s%: 27%	6 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt CD	1 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	3 / 12 7.0F Dirt CD	Mid Pack Stalker
7 X Raising Kane J: Corey J Lanerie T: J Keith Desormeau	18 38 58	6/1	G 118lbs $197400	13 4-4-4 w%: 31% s%: 31%	4 / 6 1M Dirt CD	1 / 8 1M Dirt CD	4 / 12 1 1/16M Dirt	Slower Leads
8 X Tejas J: Francisco Arrieta T: Carlos Santamaria		15/1	G 121lbs $288250	22 3-6-6 w%: 14% s%: 27%	2 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt CD	9 / 11 7.0F Dirt KEE	4 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt CD	Slower Leads

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Polar Bear Plunge 4 / 25% / 50%		3/1	G 121lbs $210210	Tyler Gaffalione 64 / 20% / 62%	Jeff A Hiles 5 / 20% / 40%	Mid Pack Stalker
2 Cloudy Holiday 0 / 0% / 0%		7/1	G 123lbs $174140	Irad Ortiz Jr 84 / 24% / 51%	Kelli Martinez 2 / 0% / 50%	Slowest Leads
3 Mo Hope 6 / 17% / 50%	27 54 81	7/1	G 121lbs $183155	Erik Asmussen 81 / 14% / 33%	Steven M Asmussen 208 / 14% / 37%	Slower Leader
4 Askari 1 / 0% / 0%	18 38 58	2/1	G 121lbs $275130	Luis Saez 118 / 17% / 39%	Christopher Davis 18 / 17% / 50%	Fast Deep
5 Groveland 2 / 0% / 50%	21 33	5/2	G 121lbs $471620	Axel Concepcion 49 / 10% / 37%	Caio Caramori 5 / 20% / 20%	Fastest Deep
6 Sprint Out Pass 3 / 0% / 0%	14 30 48	4/1	G 118lbs $224380	Jose L Ortiz 138 / 24% / 59%	Kelli Martinez 2 / 0% / 50%	Mid Pack Stalker
7 Raising Kane 3 / 33% / 33%	18 38 58	5/1	G 118lbs $197400	Corey J Lanerie 38 / 5% / 26%	J Keith Desormeaux 22 / 14% / 32%	Slower Leads
8 Tejas 5 / 20% / 40%		14/1	G 121lbs $288250	Francisco Arrieta 111 / 15% / 45%	Carlos Santamaria 12 / 0% / 42%	Slower Leads

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 751

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 751

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 751