Thursday October 29, 2026
Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 30000.0K featuring 3+ year old Filly & Mares on a Dirt track at a distance of 1 1/16M. The purse for this race is $62000.
New to our picks? Learn how to read this race page »

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

 
 
Win % / Place % / Show %
 
 
French Mistress
 
 
1
14
 
 
Watershed Moment
 
 
2
14
 
 
Quinn'S Promise
 
 
3
14
 
 
Mustang Lady
 
 
4
14
 
 
Will Believe
 
 
5
14
 
 
Bamtwentyklater
 
 
6
14
 
 
Getting After It
 
 
7
14
 
Name Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions ⓘ M/L Info Career Last Start 2nd Last 3rd Last Style
1
A
French Mistress
14
 
7/2
F
121lbs
$20480
4 1-1-2
w%: 25%
s%: 50%
3 / 6
1 1/16M Dirt
KEE
10 / 10
1 1/16M Turf
1 / 9
1 1/16M Turf
TAM
Fast
Closer
2
B
Watershed Moment
14
 
4/2
F
123lbs
$137050
17 1-5-5
w%: 6%
s%: 29%
1 / 5
1 1/16M Dirt
KEE
5 / 9
6.5F Dirt
4 / 6
1M Dirt
CD
Mid Pack
Leader
3
X
Quinn's Promise
14
 
4/1
F
121lbs
$263250
16 1-2-7
w%: 6%
s%: 44%
6 / 6
1 1/16M Dirt
KEE
5 / 7
6.0F Dirt
CD
7 / 11
6.0F Dirt
Slower
Closer
4
B
Mustang Lady
14
 
10/1
M
121lbs
$818482
37 1-9-15
w%: 3%
s%: 41%
3 / 8
6.5F Dirt
CD
2 / 7
1M Dirt
4 / 7
1M Dirt
CD
Fast
Stalker
5
B
Will Believe
14
 
9/2
F
118lbs
$159720
10 1-3-4
w%: 10%
s%: 40%
10 / 12
7.0F Turf
KD
4 / 8
1M Dirt
8 / 11
5.5F Dirt
Fast
Deep
6
B
Bamtwentyklater
14
 
10/1
F
121lbs
$163680
15 1-7-9
w%: 7%
s%: 60%
4 / 6
1 1/16M Dirt
KEE
3 / 5
1M Dirt
IND
3 / 5
1M Dirt
IND
Fastest
Stalker
7
X
Getting After It
14
 
8/1
F
121lbs
$96590
10 1-3-7
w%: 10%
s%: 70%
3 / 8
6.0F Dirt
KEE
2 / 8
6.5F Dirt
CD
3 / 8
6.0F Dirt
IND
Slowest
Closer
Name Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions ⓘ M/L Info Jockey Trainer Style
1
French Mistress
1 / 0% / 100%
14
5/2 F
121lbs
$20480
Jaime A Torres
86 / 9% / 42%
Jeff A Hiles
6 / 0% / 33%
Fast
Closer
2
Watershed Moment
3 / 33% / 100%
14
2/2 F
123lbs
$137050
Rafael Bejarano
94 / 15% / 41%
Robert Medina
20 / 20% / 45%
Mid Pack
Leader
3
Quinn's Promise
6 / 0% / 33%
14
3/1 F
121lbs
$263250
Luis Saez
136 / 15% / 44%
Steven M Asmussen
189 / 13% / 39%
Slower
Closer
4
Mustang Lady
8 / 0% / 38%
14
9/1 M
121lbs
$818482
Keith J Asmussen
71 / 8% / 25%
Steven M Asmussen
189 / 13% / 39%
Fast
Stalker
5
Will Believe
0 / 0% / 0%
14
7/2 F
118lbs
$159720
Jareth Loveberry
41 / 12% / 29%
Michael E Lauer
23 / 4% / 26%
Fast
Deep
6
Bamtwentyklater
2 / 0% / 50%
14
9/1 F
121lbs
$163680
Summer Pauly
16 / 25% / 50%
Ed Moger Jr
6 / 0% / 17%
Fastest
Stalker
7
Getting After It
1 / 0% / 0%
14
7/1 F
121lbs
$96590
Francisco Arrieta
113 / 19% / 50%
Michael Puhich
0 / 0% / 0%
Slowest
Closer
Bovada Racebook 4.9 /5 Review Rating

Superfecta Pick*

1
2
3
4
Live Odds From 100+ Racetracks
See our other partners

Exacta Pick*

1
2

Bet this pick at


Claim Bonus »

Win Pick

1

Bet this pick at


Claim Bonus »

Trifecta Pick*

1
2
3

Bet this pick at


Claim Bonus »

*Please note exacta, trifecta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary. How our picks work »

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 828

View As:
View As:

View our track bias analysis tool