Thursday October 29, 2026
Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a
Claiming
30000.0K
featuring 3+ year old Filly & Mares on a
Dirt track at a distance of
1
1/16M.
The purse for this race is $62000.
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Figure Comparison
Winning Profiles
Win % / Place % / Show %
French Mistress
1
Watershed Moment
2
Quinn'S Promise
3
Mustang Lady
4
Will Believe
5
Bamtwentyklater
6
Getting After It
7
|
|
|
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions ⓘ | M/L | Info | Career | Last Start | 2nd Last | 3rd Last | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
A
French Mistress
T: Jeff A Hiles
|
|
7/2 |
F 121lbs $20480 |
4
1-1-2
w%: 25%
s%: 50% |
3 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
KEE |
10 / 10
1
1/16M
Turf
|
1 / 9
1
1/16M
Turf
TAM |
Fast
Closer |
|
2
B
Watershed Moment
|
|
4/2 |
F 123lbs $137050 |
17
1-5-5
w%: 6%
s%: 29% |
1 / 5
1
1/16M
Dirt
KEE |
5 / 9
6.5F
Dirt
|
4 / 6
1M
Dirt
CD |
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
3
X
Quinn's Promise
J: Luis Saez
|
|
4/1 |
F 121lbs $263250 |
16
1-2-7
w%: 6%
s%: 44% |
6 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
KEE |
5 / 7
6.0F
Dirt
CD |
7 / 11
6.0F
Dirt
|
Slower
Closer |
|
4
B
Mustang Lady
|
|
10/1 |
M 121lbs $818482 |
37
1-9-15
w%: 3%
s%: 41% |
3 / 8
6.5F
Dirt
CD |
2 / 7
1M
Dirt
|
4 / 7
1M
Dirt
CD |
Fast
Stalker |
|
5
B
Will Believe
|
|
9/2 |
F 118lbs $159720 |
10
1-3-4
w%: 10%
s%: 40% |
10 / 12
7.0F
Turf
KD |
4 / 8
1M
Dirt
|
8 / 11
5.5F
Dirt
|
Fast
Deep |
|
6
B
Bamtwentyklater
J: Summer Pauly
T: Ed Moger Jr
|
|
10/1 |
F 121lbs $163680 |
15
1-7-9
w%: 7%
s%: 60% |
4 / 6
1
1/16M
Dirt
KEE |
3 / 5
1M
Dirt
IND |
3 / 5
1M
Dirt
IND |
Fastest
Stalker |
|
7
X
Getting After It
|
|
8/1 |
F 121lbs $96590 |
10
1-3-7
w%: 10%
s%: 70% |
3 / 8
6.0F
Dirt
KEE |
2 / 8
6.5F
Dirt
CD |
3 / 8
6.0F
Dirt
IND |
Slowest
Closer |
| Name | Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions ⓘ | M/L | Info | Jockey | Trainer | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
French Mistress
1
/ 0%
/ 100%
|
|
5/2 |
F 121lbs $20480 |
Jaime A Torres
86
/ 9%
/ 42%
|
Jeff A Hiles
6
/ 0%
/ 33%
|
Fast
Closer |
|
2
Watershed Moment
3
/ 33%
/ 100%
|
|
2/2 |
F 123lbs $137050 |
Rafael Bejarano
94
/ 15%
/ 41%
|
Robert Medina
20
/ 20%
/ 45%
|
Mid Pack
Leader |
|
3
Quinn's Promise
6
/ 0%
/ 33%
|
|
3/1 |
F 121lbs $263250 |
Luis Saez
136
/ 15%
/ 44%
|
Steven M Asmussen
189
/ 13%
/ 39%
|
Slower
Closer |
|
4
Mustang Lady
8
/ 0%
/ 38%
|
|
9/1 |
M 121lbs $818482 |
Keith J Asmussen
71
/ 8%
/ 25%
|
Steven M Asmussen
189
/ 13%
/ 39%
|
Fast
Stalker |
|
5
Will Believe
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
7/2 |
F 118lbs $159720 |
Jareth Loveberry
41
/ 12%
/ 29%
|
Michael E Lauer
23
/ 4%
/ 26%
|
Fast
Deep |
|
6
Bamtwentyklater
2
/ 0%
/ 50%
|
|
9/1 |
F 121lbs $163680 |
Summer Pauly
16
/ 25%
/ 50%
|
Ed Moger Jr
6
/ 0%
/ 17%
|
Fastest
Stalker |
|
7
Getting After It
1
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
|
7/1 |
F 121lbs $96590 |
Francisco Arrieta
113
/ 19%
/ 50%
|
Michael Puhich
0
/ 0%
/ 0%
|
Slowest
Closer |
Superfecta Pick*
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2
3
4
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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 828
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