Name: Free Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Race 7 Apr 30, 2025 | Betting News
Start: 2025-04-30
End: 2025-04-30
Location: Churchill Downs

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Wednesday April 30, 2025

Race Number 7 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Filly & Mares on a Turf track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $127000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Likely Perspective (Ire)

Yes Indeed

Storm Miami (Ire)

Classic Q

New Rome

Dream On Stormy

Expatriate

Candy Cause

Hope Mission

Hay Stack

Take Shape

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 X Likely Perspective (Ire) J: Machado Luan T: Stall Jr Albert M		20/1	F 118lbs $7607	3 1-1-1 w%: 33% s%: 33%	10 / 11 5.5F Turf FG	6 / 10 1M Turf KEE	1 / 14 7.0F Dirt	Mid Pack Closer
2 B Yes Indeed J: Saez Luis T: DeVaux Cherie		12/1	F 125lbs $125600	4 1-2-2 w%: 25% s%: 50%	2 / 11 1 1/16M Dirt CD	4 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt KEE	1 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt FG	Fastest Deep
3 B Storm Miami (Ire) J: Rosario Joel T: Walsh Brendan P		6/1	F 125lbs $1194832	13 1-3-6 w%: 8% s%: 46%	7 / 11 6.5F Weather TP	4 / 12 7.0F Weather WO	2 / 12 6.5F Turf KD	Fast Stalker
4 A Classic Q J: Ortiz Jose L T: Casse Mark E	21 41 61	3/1	F 118lbs $320400	4 1-1-1 w%: 25% s%: 25%	4 / 10 7.5F Turf GP	4 / 9 1M Turf GP	1 / 12 1M Turf GP	Fastest Leads
5 B New Rome J: Hernandez Jr Bria T: Antonucci Jena M	29	4/1	M 127lbs $436232	21 9-11-13 w%: 43% s%: 62%	4 / 7 1M Dirt KEE	1 / 6 1M Turf GP	5 / 9 1M Turf KEE	Mid Pack Leader
6 X Dream On Stormy J: Rodriguez Walter T: Winston Freddie D		20/1	M 125lbs $55200	18 1-1-1 w%: 6% s%: 6%	9 / 12 5.5F Turf KEE	11 / 12 1M Weather TP	8 / 10 6.5F Weather TP	Slowest Leads
7 B Expatriate J: Prat Flavien T: Brown Chad C	15 30 46	9/2	F 125lbs $86400	3 1-1-1 w%: 33% s%: 33%	5 / 10 1 1/16M Turf SAR	7 / 7 1M Turf PIM	1 / 10 1M Turf GP	Fast Stalker
8 X Candy Cause J: Moncada Irving T: Rice Linda	29	30/1	F 120lbs $76140	7 3-3-4 w%: 43% s%: 57%	4 / 8 7.0F Dirt KEE	1 / 7 1M Weather TP	1 / 10 1M Weather TP	Slower Leads
9 A Hope Mission J: Ortiz Jr Irad T: Walsh Brendan P	18 36 54	7/2	F 127lbs $54400	4 1-3-3 w%: 25% s%: 75%	1 / 10 1 1/16M Turf FG	6 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt FG	2 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt FG	Fast Leader
10 X Hay Stack J: Curtis Ben T: Beckman D Whitwor		15/1	M 125lbs $580270	22 1-5-10 w%: 5% s%: 45%	7 / 7 1M Dirt KEE	9 / 12 6.0F Weather TP	3 / 12 1M Weather TP	Mid Pack Stalker
11 X Take Shape J: Dettori Lanfranco T: Sharp Joe	29	20/1	M 125lbs $244620	16 3-4-8 w%: 19% s%: 50%	3 / 12 1M Weather TP	12 / 12 1 1/6M Turf KEE	8 / 8 1 1/4M Dirt CD	Slower Leader

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Likely Perspective (Ire) 1 / 0% / 0%		19/1	F 118lbs $7607	Machado Luan 80 / 10% / 39%	Stall Jr Albert M 0 / 0% / 0%	Mid Pack Closer
2 Yes Indeed 0 / 0% / 0%		11/1	F 125lbs $125600	Saez Luis 108 / 18% / 46%	DeVaux Cherie 53 / 17% / 42%	Fastest Deep
3 Storm Miami (Ire) 2 / 0% / 0%		5/1	F 125lbs $1194832	Rosario Joel 65 / 8% / 25%	Walsh Brendan P 117 / 15% / 38%	Fast Stalker
4 Classic Q 2 / 50% / 50%	21 41 61	2/1	F 118lbs $320400	Ortiz Jose L 104 / 20% / 47%	Casse Mark E 168 / 17% / 41%	Fastest Leads
5 New Rome 2 / 50% / 50%	29	3/1	M 127lbs $436232	Hernandez Jr Brian J 0 / 0% / 0%	Antonucci Jena M 10 / 10% / 20%	Mid Pack Leader
6 Dream On Stormy 0 / 0% / 0%		19/1	M 125lbs $55200	Rodriguez Walter A 23 / 17% / 39%	Winston Freddie D 0 / 0% / 0%	Slowest Leads
7 Expatriate 2 / 50% / 50%	15 30 46	7/2	F 125lbs $86400	Prat Flavien 100 / 24% / 56%	Brown Chad C 125 / 25% / 62%	Fast Stalker
8 Candy Cause 0 / 0% / 0%	29	29/1	F 120lbs $76140	Moncada Irving 14 / 14% / 29%	Rice Linda 9 / 11% / 33%	Slower Leads
9 Hope Mission 0 / 0% / 0%	18 36 54	5/2	F 127lbs $54400	Ortiz Jr Irad 126 / 25% / 52%	Walsh Brendan P 117 / 15% / 38%	Fast Leader
10 Hay Stack 5 / 0% / 40%		14/1	M 125lbs $580270	Curtis Ben 33 / 3% / 27%	Beckman D Whitworth 11 / 18% / 36%	Mid Pack Stalker
11 Take Shape 1 / 0% / 0%	29	19/1	M 125lbs $244620	Dettori Lanfranco 94 / 16% / 39%	Sharp Joe 53 / 13% / 40%	Slower Leader

5/5 Review Rating

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Trifecta Pick*

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*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 149

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 149

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 149