Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-27
End: 2025-11-27
Location: Churchill Downs

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Thursday November 27, 2025

Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 12K featuring 3 year old Fillys on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $134000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Sweet Seraphine

Fede

Flash Wear

Amarth

Quantum Burst

Jenkin

Decadent

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 B Sweet Seraphine J: Jose L Ortiz T: Cherie DeVaux	25 53 83	3/1	F 118lbs $253810	5 2-2-3 w%: 40% s%: 60%	5 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt KEE	5 / 13 1M Dirt PRX	1 / 5 1M Dirt BAQ	Fast Stalker
2 X Fede J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: La Cerda Armando	12 31 52	6/1	F 118lbs $202750	11 3-3-7 w%: 27% s%: 64%	9 / 9 1 1/16M Turf GP	8 / 13 1M Dirt PRX	3 / 6 7.0F Dirt GP	Slowest Leader
3 B Flash Wear J: Brian J Hernandez T: Thomas D Vance	25 53 83	9/2	F 118lbs $523730	14 3-5-6 w%: 21% s%: 43%	5 / 6 7.0F Dirt CD	4 / 8 7.0F Dirt KEE	5 / 5 1 1/16M Dirt CD	Fastest Stalker
4 A Amarth J: Luis Saez T: Eddie Kenneally	12 31 52	4/1	F 118lbs $652000	9 2-3-3 w%: 22% s%: 33%	4 / 6 7.0F Dirt CD	4 / 5 1M Dirt CD	5 / 9 1 1/8M Dirt PIM	Fast Leads
5 A Quantum Burst J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Eddie Kenneally	19 45 75	6/1	F 118lbs $199200	6 2-5-6 w%: 33% s%: 100%	3 / 7 1M Dirt OP	1 / 5 1M Dirt	2 / 5 1M Dirt FG	Fast Leads
6 X Jenkin J: Francisco Arrieta T: Lindsay Schultz		8/1	F 118lbs $216900	7 2-2-3 w%: 29% s%: 43%	6 / 7 1M Dirt OP	6 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt FG	8 / 13 1 1/16M Dirt OP	Slowest Stalker
7 B Decadent J: Emmanuel Esquivel T: Kenneth G McPeek	28	7/2	F 118lbs $136250	5 2-2-3 w%: 40% s%: 60%	7 / 8 1 1/8M Turf BAQ	3 / 8 1M Turf BAQ	10 / 13 1M Dirt PRX	Fast Deep

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Sweet Seraphine 2 / 100% / 100%	25 53 83	2/1	F 118lbs $253810	Jose L Ortiz 97 / 26% / 56%	Cherie DeVaux 14 / 29% / 57%	Fast Stalker
2 Fede 1 / 100% / 100%	12 31 52	5/1	F 118lbs $202750	Irad Ortiz Jr 96 / 26% / 60%	La Cerda Armando De 7 / 29% / 57%	Slowest Leader
3 Flash Wear 3 / 67% / 67%	25 53 83	7/2	F 118lbs $523730	Brian J Hernandez Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Thomas D Vance 15 / 7% / 27%	Fastest Stalker
4 Amarth 2 / 0% / 50%	12 31 52	3/1	F 118lbs $652000	Luis Saez 94 / 20% / 49%	Eddie Kenneally 16 / 12% / 50%	Fast Leads
5 Quantum Burst 3 / 33% / 100%	19 45 75	5/1	F 118lbs $199200	Tyler Gaffalione 67 / 18% / 52%	Eddie Kenneally 16 / 12% / 50%	Fast Leads
6 Jenkin 3 / 67% / 67%		7/1	F 118lbs $216900	Francisco Arrieta 66 / 18% / 48%	Lindsay Schultz 16 / 31% / 56%	Slowest Stalker
7 Decadent 0 / 0% / 0%	28	5/2	F 118lbs $136250	Emmanuel Esquivel 77 / 25% / 45%	Kenneth G McPeek 96 / 17% / 46%	Fast Deep

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 518

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

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Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 518

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 518