Churchill Downs - Race Number: 6 - Thursday September 21, 2023 Daily Horse Picks

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Thursday September 21, 2023

Race Number 6 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Fillys on a Dirt track at a distance of 6F. The purse for this race is $127000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Huntress For Hire

Ervadean

Pistol

Ten Rings

In Color

Secret Statement

Cancel This

Little Mombo

Varmlander

High Class

The Great Maybe

Need Some Money

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 B Huntress For Hire J: Machado Luan T: Stall Jr Albert M		7/2	F 118lbs $171700	4 1-2-2 w%: 25% s%: 50%	4 / 7 7F Dirt SAR	1 / 13 7F Dirt CD	6 / 11 6F Dirt FG	Fast Stalker
2 A Ervadean J: Gutierrez Reylu T: Stewart Dallas		20/1	F 118lbs $67110	5 1-1-3 w%: 20% s%: 60%	3 / 6 6F Dirt	6 / 8 6F Dirt	3 / 8 6F Dirt CD	Fast Leads
3 A Pistol J: Arrieta Francisco T: Van Berg Thomas L	29	9/2	F 121lbs $241980	13 1-4-6 w%: 8% s%: 46%	2 / 6 6F Dirt	2 / 4 6F Dirt	6 / 8 7F Dirt CD	Fast Leads
4 B Ten Rings J: Lanerie Corey J T: Engler Jeff		20/1	F 121lbs $30000	5 1-1-1 w%: 20% s%: 20%	6 / 9 6F Weather TP	6 / 9 6F Weather TP	12 / 12 6F Weather TP	Fast Deep
5 X In Color J: Talamo Joseph T: D'Amato Philip		20/1	F 118lbs $128630	9 2-2-5 w%: 22% s%: 56%	3 / 8 6F Dirt	3 / 6 7F Dirt SA	3 / 6 7F Dirt SA	Mid Pack Stalker
6 X Secret Statement J: Leparoux Julien R T: Baker James E		20/1	F 118lbs $173900	6 1-2-4 w%: 17% s%: 67%	3 / 10 6F Dirt CD	6 / 12 6F Dirt KEE	3 / 7 6F Dirt OP	Mid Pack Closer
7 A Cancel This J: Hernandez Jr Bria T: Stidham Michael	11 23 36	6/1	F 121lbs $191450	12 0-5-10 w%: 0% s%: 83%	2 / 8 6F Dirt	3 / 4 6F Dirt	3 / 7 6F Dirt	Fastest Closer
8 A Little Mombo J: Murrill Mitchell T: Bauer Philip A	20 39 58	8/1	F 121lbs $205270	8 1-4-6 w%: 12% s%: 75%	6 / 8 5F Turf SAR	2 / 7 6F Dirt	3 / 10 5F Dirt CD	Fastest Leader
9 X Varmlander J: Graham James T: Sharp Joe		20/1	F 118lbs $60600	3 1-1-1 w%: 33% s%: 33%	7 / 9 6F Dirt FG	4 / 6 1 1/16M Turf FG	1 / 9 6F Dirt FG	Mid Pack Stalker
10 B High Class J: Torres Cristian A T: Asmussen Steven M	29	4/1	F 118lbs $110140	6 1-2-3 w%: 17% s%: 50%	3 / 6 6F Dirt	1 / 10 6F Dirt	5 / 12 6F Dirt CD	Fast Stalker
11 X The Great Maybe J: Gaffalione Tyler T: DeVaux Cherie	13 27 42	9/2	F 118lbs $123000	3 1-1-1 w%: 33% s%: 33%	5 / 6 6F Dirt CD	6 / 6 1M Dirt BAQ	1 / 10 6F Dirt SAR	Slowest Leads
12 A Need Some Money J: Morales Edgar T: Amoss Thomas M		15/1	F 118lbs $227320	12 3-4-5 w%: 25% s%: 42%	1 / 7 5F Dirt SAR	5 / 10 7F Dirt SAR	3 / 8 7F Dirt CD	Fast Closer

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Huntress For Hire 2 / 0% / 50%		5/2	F 118lbs $171700	Machado Luan 63 / 13% / 29%	Stall Jr Albert M 0 / 0% / 0%	Fast Stalker
2 Ervadean 3 / 33% / 100%		19/1	F 118lbs $67110	Gutierrez Reylu 236 / 16% / 55%	Stewart Dallas 66 / 6% / 35%	Fast Leads
3 Pistol 5 / 0% / 40%	29	7/2	F 121lbs $241980	Arrieta Francisco 294 / 21% / 50%	Van Berg Thomas L 26 / 15% / 54%	Fast Leads
4 Ten Rings 0 / 0% / 0%		19/1	F 121lbs $30000	Lanerie Corey J 163 / 15% / 47%	Engler Jeff 9 / 33% / 67%	Fast Deep
5 In Color 3 / 33% / 33%		19/1	F 118lbs $128630	Talamo Joseph 98 / 9% / 28%	D'Amato Philip 41 / 32% / 59%	Mid Pack Stalker
6 Secret Statement 2 / 0% / 100%		19/1	F 118lbs $173900	Leparoux Julien R 50 / 10% / 40%	Baker James E 10 / 0% / 50%	Mid Pack Closer
7 Cancel This 4 / 0% / 100%	11 23 36	5/1	F 121lbs $191450	Hernandez Jr Brian J 0 / 0% / 0%	Stidham Michael 40 / 18% / 52%	Fastest Closer
8 Little Mombo 1 / 0% / 100%	20 39 58	7/1	F 121lbs $205270	Murrill Mitchell 207 / 9% / 40%	Bauer Philip A 17 / 24% / 76%	Fastest Leader
9 Varmlander 2 / 50% / 50%		19/1	F 118lbs $60600	Graham James 177 / 14% / 40%	Sharp Joe 66 / 17% / 39%	Mid Pack Stalker
10 High Class 2 / 50% / 50%	29	3/1	F 118lbs $110140	Torres Cristian A 344 / 22% / 49%	Asmussen Steven M 575 / 19% / 45%	Fast Stalker
11 The Great Maybe 1 / 100% / 100%	13 27 42	7/2	F 118lbs $123000	Gaffalione Tyler 211 / 17% / 51%	DeVaux Cherie 25 / 16% / 32%	Slowest Leads
12 Need Some Money 0 / 0% / 0%		14/1	F 118lbs $227320	Morales Edgar 221 / 12% / 42%	Amoss Thomas M 98 / 16% / 54%	Fast Closer

5/5 Review Rating

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Trifecta Pick*

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*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 668

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 668

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 668