Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-09-28
End: 2025-09-28
Location: Churchill Downs

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Sunday September 28, 2025

Race Number 3 at Churchill Downs is a Allowance featuring 3+ year old Horse & Geldings on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $76000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Unlimitedpotential

Greers Ferry

Dance Some Mo

Welaka

Gilmore

Brazenly

Alternate Reality

Papa Yo

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 B Unlimitedpotential J: Jaime A Torres T: Mertkan Kantarmac	25 48 71	4/1	H 122lbs $397770	17 6-10-12 w%: 35% s%: 71%	3 / 5 1M Dirt SAR	1 / 5 1M Dirt BAQ	3 / 10 7.0F Dirt SAR	Mid Pack Leader
2 C Greers Ferry J: Florent Geroux T: Carlos Santamaria		20/1	G 122lbs $219636	23 1-7-14 w%: 4% s%: 61%	3 / 7 1M Dirt CD	3 / 7 1M Dirt CD	1 / 12 1M Dirt OP	Slowest Deep
3 X Dance Some Mo J: Francisco Arrieta T: Berg Thomas L Van		12/1	G 122lbs $623485	45 4-15-22 w%: 9% s%: 49%	2 / 7 1M Dirt IND	2 / 7 1M Dirt IND	5 / 9 1M Turf IND	Mid Pack Stalker
4 A Welaka J: Adam Beschizza T: Kelsey Danner		3/1	G 122lbs $698660	25 5-7-12 w%: 20% s%: 48%	4 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt	1 / 7 1 1/8M Dirt	6 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt CD	Fast Leads
5 B Gilmore J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Joe Sharp	29 53 77	5/2	G 122lbs $756050	28 7-12-16 w%: 25% s%: 57%	1 / 7 7.0F Dirt	1 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt SAR	2 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	Fast Stalker
6 B Brazenly J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: William Walden	18 37 56	9/2	G 122lbs $536340	55 5-21-32 w%: 9% s%: 58%	9 / 12 1M Turf DMR	3 / 10 1M Dirt DMR	2 / 8 1M Dirt SA	Fastest Deep
7 X Alternate Reality J: Edgar Morales T: Joe Sharp		12/1	G 122lbs $689430	32 6-11-16 w%: 19% s%: 50%	5 / 8 1M Dirt SAR	4 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt SAR	3 / 7 1 1/8M Dirt SAR	Mid Pack Closer
8 X Papa Yo J: Brian J Hernandez T: Chris A Hartman	14 30 46	5/1	G 124lbs $195940	16 7-7-9 w%: 44% s%: 56%	1 / 7 1 1/16M Dirt CD	8 / 8 1M Dirt	1 / 7 1 1/8M Dirt CD	Slower Leads

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Unlimitedpotential 5 / 40% / 60%	25 48 71	3/1	H 122lbs $397770	Jaime A Torres 77 / 14% / 36%	Mertkan Kantarmaci 1 / 100% / 100%	Mid Pack Leader
2 Greers Ferry 11 / 9% / 100%		19/1	G 122lbs $219636	Florent Geroux 59 / 20% / 51%	Carlos Santamaria 21 / 19% / 48%	Slowest Deep
3 Dance Some Mo 7 / 43% / 57%		11/1	G 122lbs $623485	Francisco Arrieta 69 / 17% / 45%	Berg Thomas L Van 17 / 29% / 47%	Mid Pack Stalker
4 Welaka 3 / 0% / 33%		2/1	G 122lbs $698660	Adam Beschizza 14 / 7% / 43%	Kelsey Danner 7 / 0% / 29%	Fast Leads
5 Gilmore 7 / 43% / 57%	29 53 77	3/2	G 122lbs $756050	Tyler Gaffalione 81 / 17% / 52%	Joe Sharp 54 / 28% / 48%	Fast Stalker
6 Brazenly 13 / 8% / 62%	18 37 56	7/2	G 122lbs $536340	Irad Ortiz Jr 121 / 24% / 63%	William Walden 17 / 29% / 53%	Fastest Deep
7 Alternate Reality 15 / 27% / 47%		11/1	G 122lbs $689430	Edgar Morales 97 / 7% / 38%	Joe Sharp 54 / 28% / 48%	Mid Pack Closer
8 Papa Yo 2 / 0% / 50%	14 30 46	4/1	G 124lbs $195940	Brian J Hernandez Jr 0 / 0% / 0%	Chris A Hartman 45 / 16% / 40%	Slower Leads

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 494

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 494

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 494