Name: Churchill Downs
Start: 2025-11-07
End: 2025-11-07
Location: Churchill Downs

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Friday November 07, 2025

Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Claiming 17K featuring 3+ year old Gelding & Colt & Horses on a Turf track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $148000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Strong Quality

Kupuna

Quatrocento

Northern Invader

Epic Ride

Emmanuel

Paros

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 X Strong Quality J: Florent Geroux T: Mark E Casse		12/1	G 121lbs $1626900	25 6-13-15 w%: 24% s%: 60%	2 / 7 1 1/6M Dirt BAQ	4 / 6 1M Dirt	6 / 7 1 1/16M Turf BAQ	Slowest Leader
2 B Kupuna J: Francisco Arrieta T: Norm W Casse		15/1	G 121lbs $1030250	27 6-13-15 w%: 22% s%: 56%	4 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt CD	4 / 8 1M Dirt IND	4 / 8 1M Dirt IND	Fast Deep
3 A Quatrocento J: Julien R Leparoux T: Fausto Gutierrez	26 45	5/2	C 123lbs $425800	12 5-7-7 w%: 42% s%: 58%	6 / 11 1M Turf KEE	1 / 11 1M Turf KD	1 / 12 1M Turf KD	Fast Closer
4 A Northern Invader J: Jose L Ortiz T: Cherie DeVaux	23 57 94	5/1	G 121lbs $1265750	16 4-10-12 w%: 25% s%: 75%	3 / 5 1 1/16M Dirt SAR	2 / 10 7.0F Turf WO	1 / 4 1M Turf CD	Fast Closer
5 A Epic Ride J: Tyler Gaffalione T: John Ennis	27 58 90	2/1	G 125lbs $2437000	17 5-10-12 w%: 29% s%: 71%	8 / 11 1M Turf KEE	1 / 13 1M Turf KD	2 / 9 1M Turf	Fastest Leads
6 C Emmanuel J: Irad Ortiz Jr T: Michael J Maker	27 58 90	7/2	H 123lbs $2971800	25 8-8-10 w%: 32% s%: 40%	1 / 11 1M Turf HAW	7 / 12 1M Turf KD	1 / 6 1 1/16M Turf PEN	Mid Pack Deep
7 X Paros J: Luis Saez T: Michael J Maker	26 45	5/1	G 121lbs $646600	22 8-9-11 w%: 36% s%: 50%	2 / 11 1M Turf HAW	8 / 9 1M Turf KD	7 / 11 1 1/8M Weather TP	Slower Closer

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Strong Quality 1 / 0% / 100%		11/1	G 121lbs $1626900	Florent Geroux 64 / 9% / 31%	Mark E Casse 142 / 20% / 44%	Slowest Leader
2 Kupuna 0 / 0% / 0%		14/1	G 121lbs $1030250	Francisco Arrieta 6 / 0% / 67%	Norm W Casse 9 / 11% / 22%	Fast Deep
3 Quatrocento 4 / 75% / 75%	26 45	3/2	C 123lbs $425800	Julien R Leparoux 36 / 8% / 22%	Fausto Gutierrez 13 / 31% / 46%	Fast Closer
4 Northern Invader 7 / 57% / 71%	23 57 94	4/1	G 121lbs $1265750	Jose L Ortiz 98 / 18% / 51%	Cherie DeVaux 45 / 16% / 40%	Fast Closer
5 Epic Ride 3 / 33% / 67%	27 58 90	1/1	G 125lbs $2437000	Tyler Gaffalione 104 / 12% / 44%	John Ennis 14 / 14% / 36%	Fastest Leads
6 Emmanuel 6 / 33% / 33%	27 58 90	5/2	H 123lbs $2971800	Irad Ortiz Jr 125 / 23% / 48%	Michael J Maker 100 / 20% / 52%	Mid Pack Deep
7 Paros 2 / 0% / 50%	26 45	4/1	G 121lbs $646600	Luis Saez 113 / 17% / 44%	Michael J Maker 100 / 20% / 52%	Slower Closer

5/5 Review Rating

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Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 164

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

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Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 164

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 164